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May 31, 2012
05/12
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iowa, colorado, and nevada. the economy, of course, is really important to people out there. so 71% in iowa, 74%, 78% in nevada. social issues not so important. when asked what candidate would do a better job with the economy, what did they say? >> iowa voters gave romney the edge, 47%. in colorado, it's a statistical tie. despite the nation's financial struggles there are encouraging numbers for the president. the majority of voters believe the worst of the tough economy is behind us. while roughly 4 in 10 think there are bigger problems ahead. and more than half of those polled say inherited conditions are to blame, rather than the president's policies. that's probably a pretty important number. >> let's do the matchups ahead in these three states again. iowa, colorado, and nevada. these are the three states that -- i mean, they are going to be key at the end of the day. >> we've got "the washington post" new polling and abc news. >> you look at these three states, though, the swing states out west. colorado,
iowa, colorado, and nevada. the economy, of course, is really important to people out there. so 71% in iowa, 74%, 78% in nevada. social issues not so important. when asked what candidate would do a better job with the economy, what did they say? >> iowa voters gave romney the edge, 47%. in colorado, it's a statistical tie. despite the nation's financial struggles there are encouraging numbers for the president. the majority of voters believe the worst of the tough economy is behind us....
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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i think we're going to win iowa, i think we're going to win wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> good morning. look at that, how beautiful. we are here. we are here. what are we, a day away? this is so exciting. good morning, everyone. >> he said it wasn't going to be close. and then he said it was going to be close. maybe he was talking about president clinton. >> it's monday, november 5th, the day before election day. we have with us mike barnicle, senior political analyst, mark halperin, willie's just walked in. i don't know why you're laughing. >> me? >> no, mike. >> this lighting is disturbing. i don't know who did it. i don't like it. i'm just going to say that right up front. but i'm happy this weekend -- today because this weekend there was a huge sporting event that all the world tuned to. and i can tell you i've never been more proud of the vanderbilt commodores, dudley stadium. >> no, they went on the road and did that. they went to kentucky, to co
i think we're going to win iowa, i think we're going to win wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> good morning. look at that, how beautiful. we are here. we are here. what are we, a day away? this is so exciting. good morning, everyone. >> he said it wasn't going to be close. and then he said it was going to be close. maybe he was talking about president clinton....
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if the margin is narrow. >> and the big question is especially for conservative, movement conservatives are going to be asking how did we lose this race? we will be asking the question that democrats and people that write for the new yorker were asking after you lost to george w. bush twice. let's go now to elijah cummings in baltimore, maryland. how's it going, buddy? how are you feeling? >> i feel great. >> are you going to guarantee that the president will carry maryland tonight? are you willing to step out on a limb? >> by at least 25 points. by at l
and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if...
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Oct 16, 2012
10/12
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that's the firewall. >> can't they swap iowa for nevada? >> you could swap some things and there is an argument -- yes, you can swap iowa for nevada. demographically impossible for a republican to win nevada anymore. and this is the guy that was the only one that showed harry reid winning in 2010 when the rest of us wrote harry reid off. >> well, similar points on sort of where the registered votes are and the demographics. >> you can swap those two exactly the same amount and six for six. but that is the strangle hold somewhere. and the race to me doesn't fundamentally shift until you see romney taking the lead or polling even in those three states. >> we've got a couple polls, robert, we've been focusing on this morning that just came out. of course, yesterday, with abc news/"washington post" poll showed the president breaking 50%. that was great news for the president. today we're talking about swing state polls coming out that show the president behind by four in the 12 battleground states. mitt romney making some gains with women, whic
that's the firewall. >> can't they swap iowa for nevada? >> you could swap some things and there is an argument -- yes, you can swap iowa for nevada. demographically impossible for a republican to win nevada anymore. and this is the guy that was the only one that showed harry reid winning in 2010 when the rest of us wrote harry reid off. >> well, similar points on sort of where the registered votes are and the demographics. >> you can swap those two exactly the same...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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it's their nevada backup and vice versa, if one slips, they want to be able to hold up there. but i'm fascinated by also what romney's done in adding this pennsylvania on sunday. is it a sign of strength, or is it potentially a sign of weakness? is it oh, wait a minute, i'm missing -- is this sort of an on-side kick, hoping you recover it and you've still got to throw the bomb because if you pick off pennsylvania, then you don't have to worry about ohio anymore. and how much of this pennsylvania stop is about that versus a sign of strength? so to me, these candidates' schedules say a lot. the fact that he's spending one less event in ohio and deciding somehow one event in pennsylvania might make a difference, i think it says a lot about where they think ohio is. >> lawrence, if you look at the preponderance of public polls, it matches with what the obama campaign says. small but durable leads. what's the best case if you're the romney campaign from their point of view? say romney can win, what would the public polls and the obama campaign be missing? >> just an overall -- what
it's their nevada backup and vice versa, if one slips, they want to be able to hold up there. but i'm fascinated by also what romney's done in adding this pennsylvania on sunday. is it a sign of strength, or is it potentially a sign of weakness? is it oh, wait a minute, i'm missing -- is this sort of an on-side kick, hoping you recover it and you've still got to throw the bomb because if you pick off pennsylvania, then you don't have to worry about ohio anymore. and how much of this...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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if seniors are ticking up in enthusiasm, which is what we show, that's the difference in nevada, right? that's how a nevada goes 51-49 obama to 51-49 romney. >> mika. >> we saw also in the polls the enthusiasm gap, which i think is really troubling for the president but also tightening with women. what do you think is going on there? >> what i find very interesting is how one of the problems obama now has is his own side is so hysterical. it's like the republicans are very good at staying on message when they have a bad hole to get into it. if something goes wrong for them, the whole commentary and structure gets behind the candidate. it's always been a problem for democrats. they're so kind of divided amongst themselves, they wring their hands and become hysterical. the actual reaction by condemns to obama's performance is much more damaging than the performance himself. certainly traffic is roaring on he "the daily beast" with liberals jumping ouft of tt of window wringing their hands saying he just gave way the election. >> chuck, you used two interesting words in describing the int
if seniors are ticking up in enthusiasm, which is what we show, that's the difference in nevada, right? that's how a nevada goes 51-49 obama to 51-49 romney. >> mika. >> we saw also in the polls the enthusiasm gap, which i think is really troubling for the president but also tightening with women. what do you think is going on there? >> what i find very interesting is how one of the problems obama now has is his own side is so hysterical. it's like the republicans are very...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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in nevada because of harry reid, they know every last democrat. in wisconsin, because of scott walker, they know every last republican. another big "x" factor, barnicle was talking about the storm as the ultimate wild card. here's one of the reasons that it could really be disruptive to the campaign. in this final week, there's almost nothing more important to the candidates than these big rally the base, motivate supporters events. already, it's only raining, and already the president has canceled an event in ohio. mitt romney's canceled an event in virginia. and also, it's going to suck up so much media attention. so it freezes the race, and it all depends where you think the race is being frozen. the best e-mail i got was from a man who said this is the climate saying you should have talked about me in the debates. >> and we'll see how it affects early voting as well. one of your other ones here, you mentioned "the des moines register" endorsement. sometimes we pooh-pooh endorsements, whether they're from human beings or from newspapers, but th
in nevada because of harry reid, they know every last democrat. in wisconsin, because of scott walker, they know every last republican. another big "x" factor, barnicle was talking about the storm as the ultimate wild card. here's one of the reasons that it could really be disruptive to the campaign. in this final week, there's almost nothing more important to the candidates than these big rally the base, motivate supporters events. already, it's only raining, and already the...
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Jun 22, 2012
06/12
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the unemployment in places like texas and nevada and florida and california. for the most part is a lot higher than that. and then, you know, he actually confronted the issues that the president started putting conversations straight in the center of our headlines when he made that announcement a couple fridays ago. and mika, i think it's more than 800,000 people. it would be 1.4 million people that could be benefited by this president's decision on immigration. >> another big story to get to this morning. this happened late yesterday. global markets reeling today as moody's down grades citigroup, bank of americ jpmorgan chase and morgan stanley joined several banks in the downgrade. officials said these banks were vulnerable to outside losses, creating fears they would not be able to repay their debts in time of severe financial crisis. the downgrade marks the first time since 2007 that moody's has taken across the board action against the banks. josh, give us a sense of where this goes from here. >> well, i think the headline is a little bit worse than the a
the unemployment in places like texas and nevada and florida and california. for the most part is a lot higher than that. and then, you know, he actually confronted the issues that the president started putting conversations straight in the center of our headlines when he made that announcement a couple fridays ago. and mika, i think it's more than 800,000 people. it would be 1.4 million people that could be benefited by this president's decision on immigration. >> another big story to...
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Jun 20, 2012
06/12
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and you've scored similar wins like that in nevada, la louisiana, maine, other states. what's the end game here? >> unfortunately, we don't have quite enough, you know, to take over the convention. >> that was the ultimate goal. what's the new goal? >> i think -- and under the rules they're going to restrain us because as of now, i'm not sure whether i will have a public presence. but we will have a presence. the organization because even those many, many who have been nominated and elected as delegates and will be obligated to vote for romney are really supporters. that means the atmosphere, the -- what's going on, be platform fights and the excitement, will be with our group. >> have you asked or have you been asked by mitt romney to have a speaking portion of the convention? >> no, i have not asked specifically and he hasn't invited me to. we -- under the rule, if we would have had five clear-cut wins they would have been obligated to allow my name be nominated and a speech which would be my speech in a 15-minute speech. that right now, because of the questionable wa
and you've scored similar wins like that in nevada, la louisiana, maine, other states. what's the end game here? >> unfortunately, we don't have quite enough, you know, to take over the convention. >> that was the ultimate goal. what's the new goal? >> i think -- and under the rules they're going to restrain us because as of now, i'm not sure whether i will have a public presence. but we will have a presence. the organization because even those many, many who have been...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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no north carolina, nevada once. but they believe they can lose colorado. they can lose florida, but their firewall is wisconsin, iowa and ohio. and that if they hold two of those three, then their path to 270 is doable, and romney becomes very steep. i think when you look at it, it's about wisconsin, then peeling that off. and they've got to figure out how to win -- how to get ohio. if iowa's not there, if neither iowa nor nevada are there, then you've got to either go get new hampshire for romney, if you will, combine it with wisconsin, but you still, i think, have to grab ohio. >> wow, okay. and right now ohio is probably where the romney campaign, we mentioned earlier, they're all headed there. they're doubling down. can they regain, keep that momentum going, chuck, or even ezra at this point when you're looking at ohio and campaign strategy, what at this point given the fact that the president is sort of in the middle of this news story and catastrophe, national disaster, how do they even compete? >> at this point, it's all turnout is my view of the ra
no north carolina, nevada once. but they believe they can lose colorado. they can lose florida, but their firewall is wisconsin, iowa and ohio. and that if they hold two of those three, then their path to 270 is doable, and romney becomes very steep. i think when you look at it, it's about wisconsin, then peeling that off. and they've got to figure out how to win -- how to get ohio. if iowa's not there, if neither iowa nor nevada are there, then you've got to either go get new hampshire for...
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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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out west in nevada, they're doing very well. in iowa, mix, ohio, mixed, doing very well. >> okay. let's get an update on the hurricane and the aftermath of it so far. bill karins is standing by with the very latest. bill? >> good morning, once again, we're now about an hour away from sunrise, we'll get our first daylight pictures of the devastation from last night's high tide cycle. our reporters are in place and they're starting to send back some images from their locations. one of the areas we're very concerned with is the jersey shore. mike seidel was in point pleasant beach. he says he was at this bar yesterday, it had a 30-yard wide protective dune in front of it. he thought for sure that dune would hold and protect it. he said the front wall was totally washed out and all the water went straight through the bar and the restaurant there. and if that's any indication of what the storm did to the 30-yard wide dunes which is extremely wide, all the ones smaller than that had no chance either. that's the kind of destruction we're going to see up and down the coast today. the stor
out west in nevada, they're doing very well. in iowa, mix, ohio, mixed, doing very well. >> okay. let's get an update on the hurricane and the aftermath of it so far. bill karins is standing by with the very latest. bill? >> good morning, once again, we're now about an hour away from sunrise, we'll get our first daylight pictures of the devastation from last night's high tide cycle. our reporters are in place and they're starting to send back some images from their locations. one of...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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but you look at -- you look at a state like nevada. i feel very good about where we are based on the early vote on the registration age that has mounted up over time. >> do you feel like you are locked in high ground? >> i feel we're in a strong position in ohio. you look at the early vote numbers in ohio reflected in that quinnipiac poll. >> 2-1. >> so we're going to go until election day. we're going to go into election day with quite -- and iowa is very much in that same category. we have a huge lead in the early voting in iowa. and hatch the people in iowa, 45% to 50% will vote before election day. so, you know, but there's no state, joe, where i would say, gee, i don't think we have a shot there. >> right. >> and every single state i feel like we're competitive. i don't think republicans would have told you they'd be fighting for virginia or fighting for florida or even north carolina -- >> that's what's so fascinating. we have quite a few questions to get through, i don't mean to be rude. i hope you'll forgive me. >> no, that's o
but you look at -- you look at a state like nevada. i feel very good about where we are based on the early vote on the registration age that has mounted up over time. >> do you feel like you are locked in high ground? >> i feel we're in a strong position in ohio. you look at the early vote numbers in ohio reflected in that quinnipiac poll. >> 2-1. >> so we're going to go until election day. we're going to go into election day with quite -- and iowa is very much in that...
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May 9, 2012
05/12
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nevada and ireland both had housing bubbles and busts. but nevada medicare, social security are paid for by the federal government. in ireland they are paid for by the irish taxpayer so you have a debt crisis. the europeans -- and their answer has been just austerity. more austerity. the only answer. the debtor countries are sinners and they should pay for their sins. >> one of the things that surprise me if you talk even to labor leaders in great britain, they are not saying cameron is wrong because we want to spend 20% more. it seems to me that both sides of british politics and even french politics i think we're going to find in the long run, they are still working in the same margins. they both feel they are restricted by the realities of long-term debt. >> but they're wrong actually. certainly in britain they are wrong. the british are basically in the same situation we are. they can borrow cheaply. they have their own currency. you say, back in the '30s did, we have debt levels like this? yes, they did. they had higher ratios then t
nevada and ireland both had housing bubbles and busts. but nevada medicare, social security are paid for by the federal government. in ireland they are paid for by the irish taxpayer so you have a debt crisis. the europeans -- and their answer has been just austerity. more austerity. the only answer. the debtor countries are sinners and they should pay for their sins. >> one of the things that surprise me if you talk even to labor leaders in great britain, they are not saying cameron is...